Crypto contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket combined for a record $2.7 billion of notional volume in a single week, driven mostly by short-term bets on where bitcoin goes next, according to a WuBlockchain figure reported by Bitcoin.com News on October 24. The engine is the 15-minute market. On Kalshi, crypto volume reached about $8.17 billion between September 1 and 28, and roughly $7 billion of that, 86%, came from 15-minute contracts, lifting crypto from about 2.6% of the platform's total volume before the format launched to 14.5% in September. Polymarket's US platform did $91.76 million in its 15-minute bitcoin markets in their first full week, September 23 to 29, with daily volume rising from $2.40 million to $27.71 million and transactions from 63,650 to 739,034 over those days. Crypto now ranks second only to sports on both platforms. A 15-minute contract on bitcoin's direction works much like a very short-dated binary option, and the growth comes as Missouri has served Kalshi and Polymarket with cease-and-desist orders, as Bitcoin.com News reported last week. The figures on each platform come from secondary sources the article links to without fully attributing, so treat the breakdown as approximate.
October 25, 2026
Crypto Bets on Kalshi and Polymarket Hit a Record $2.7 Billion Week
Original reporting: news.bitcoin.com ↗