Bitcoin has been turned back in the low $82,000s four separate times since August 25, failing at $81,265 on the 25th, $81,480 on the 28th, $82,283 on September 3, and $81,438 on the 4th. It trades near $79,863, up 23.15% since the August 7 low but still down 10% on the year and 27.49% over twelve months. Two dates decide the next move: the Senate's Clarity Act vote on September 15 and the Fed decision on the 16th, with Polymarket pricing the bill being signed this year at roughly 18%. A failed cloture vote paired with a hike likely means a retest of $77,307.